Archive - Dec 2, 2008

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Is Poverty Linked to Terrorism?

It seems obvious that poverty and terrorism are closely interwoven. The search for answers in last week's terrorist attacks in Mumbai has prompted the links between the two to be probed once again.

But how associated are they, really?

Back in 2002, the general consensus was that poverty relief efforts could be a leading tactic in the fight against terror. Since then, however, a number of researchers have taken issue with this correlation, starting with the fact that the 9/11 attacks were carried out by middle-to-upper-class men. (A 2003 paper suggests that terrorist groups may recruit well-educated, well-off members because they can blend into their Western targets.) Harvard professor Alberto Abadie ties the rate of terror events to a nation's political freedom as well as its size, elevation and weather — but not its economic status.

The rationale behind the idea that terrorism can be a by-product of poverty persists because it seems pretty logical. Poverty can surely lead to a sense of societal alienation, which could make people more likely to join a terrorist group. Assuming that is the case, extending the benefits of economic growth to marginalized communities could lessen the threat of terrorism. But is this perceived alienation actually a result of poverty, or something else entirely?

Anecdotally, poverty relief efforts — especially education — appear to be powerful antidotes to terror. A prime example is American Greg Mortenson's efforts to build dozens of schools in remote areas of Afghanistan and Pakistan, which are documented in the book Three Cups of Tea. According to Mortenson, "Education in general is a powerful tool to provide alternatives to the illiterate, impoverished areas that are the recruiting grounds for terror."

With 14,000 terrorist events in 2007 alone, attempts to understand the roots of terrorism aren't mere academic exercises. Correctly determining the true causes of terrorist activity can mean the difference between a successful anti-terror strategy and thousands of lives lost.

Rural China Could Gain from Financial Crisis

China's stimulus package would fund paving roads like this one, making them passable year round  and decreasing transportation costs. Photo: Thatcher Cook for Mercy Corps
China's stimulus package would fund paving roads like this one, making them passable year round and decreasing transportation costs. Photo: Thatcher Cook for Mercy Corps

China's $586 billion stimulus plan includes a whopping $14-plus billion for rural projects, according to The China Daily. And it couldn't have come at a better time.

Weakened demand for Chinese exports as a result of the global economic slowdown has led to widespread unemployment among urban factory workers and forced thousands of Chinese businesses to file for bankruptcy. In the province of Guangdong alone, over 9,000 factories are expected to close, leaving 2.7 million without work "Things have to be improved for these people who could be forced to return home to their villages," says The China Daily.

In China, a huge gap exists between rural and urban wealth. City-dwellers are three times richer than their rural counterparts. And the disparity exists in the education system as well: Shanghai schools receive ten times more funding than rural schools. Furthermore, The Guardian reports:

[L]ife expectancy in Guizhou is a decade shorter than in Beijing; child mortality in Qinghai is seven times as high as in the capital; and illiteracy in Gansu five times more common.

A huge influx of unemployed moving back in to rural areas could exacerbate existing economic inequality. But according to Liu Junsheng, a senior researcher with the Chinese government, "Increasing expenditure on rural development programs can create jobs directly for surplus laborers in the countryside. They don't even need to move to other cities because they can earn a living at home."

Past spending on infrastructure has made a positive economic impact by reducing transportation time and cost, the The Wall Street Journal reports from Qijiang.

The results are evident in this hilly corner of China's southwest, where a new expressway has cut travel times to the big city of Chongqing to 45 minutes from more than two hours. That's inspired local businesses to expand and outsiders to look for weekend retreats. Many villages are now resurfacing dirt roads to improve connections and ease travel further. Rather than selling their crop of Sichuan peppercorns from baskets on their backs, local farmers are loading them by the sackful onto trucks. Average annual incomes here reached about 4,100 yuan ($600) in 2007, up from 3,030 yuan ($450) three years ago.

If the stimulus plan can replicate these economic gains elsewhere, this short-term measure could make a long-term dent in China's rural poverty.


Stories We're Watching

As Growth Slows, India Awakens to Need for Foreign Investment

International Herald Tribune - Wed, 02/08/2012 - 08:26
India’s central bank and economic analysts predict that growth will fall sharply to 7 percent this fiscal year and remain sluggish.

Social responsibility and a new world order

Washington Post - Innovations - Tue, 02/07/2012 - 07:56
Just before the New Year, the London-based Center for Economics and Business Research announced that Brazil had overtaken the United Kingdom as the world’s sixth largest economy. Furthermore, it predicted that by 2020, India and Russia will also have overtaken all the European economic powers.

Aid for trade policy rears its ugly head

The Guardian's Poverty Matters - Mon, 02/06/2012 - 01:41
The UK government's dismay at not being granted the contract for Typhoon fighter jets in India is an indication that its controversial aid for trade policy is still very much alive.

Liberia's battle to put the lights back on

The Guardian's Poverty Matters - Sun, 02/05/2012 - 23:00
Ellen Johnson Sirleaf has set ambitious targets to restore the country's electricity supply. But will it meet them by 2015?

As Africa's consumers rise, so does inequality

Yale Global Online - Fri, 02/03/2012 - 10:17
Kenya struggles to spread the wealth from rapid growth.

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